Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.000199 0.000222 0.000247 0.000276 0.000308 0.000342 0.000383
2025-02-23 0.000163 0.000194 0.000230 0.000273 0.000325 0.000385 0.000459
2025-03-02 0.000136 0.000171 0.000213 0.000268 0.000336 0.000419 0.000528
2025-03-09 0.000117 0.000155 0.000202 0.000266 0.000350 0.000457 0.000605
2025-03-16 0.000103 0.000142 0.000193 0.000266 0.000365 0.000497 0.000687
2025-03-23 0.000092 0.000132 0.000187 0.000267 0.000381 0.000539 0.000775
2025-03-30 0.000083 0.000123 0.000179 0.000265 0.000392 0.000574 0.000857
2025-04-06 0.000075 0.000116 0.000174 0.000267 0.000408 0.000617 0.000952
2025-04-13 0.000069 0.000109 0.000169 0.000267 0.000422 0.000657 0.001047
2025-04-20 0.000063 0.000102 0.000162 0.000264 0.000428 0.000687 0.001127
2025-04-27 0.000060 0.000100 0.000163 0.000272 0.000455 0.000750 0.001265
2025-05-04 0.000056 0.000096 0.000161 0.000276 0.000473 0.000801 0.001388
2025-05-11 0.000052 0.000092 0.000159 0.000279 0.000491 0.000853 0.001522
2025-05-18 0.000048 0.000087 0.000154 0.000278 0.000503 0.000897 0.001644
2025-05-25 0.000044 0.000081 0.000147 0.000273 0.000507 0.000927 0.001745
2025-06-01 0.000040 0.000077 0.000143 0.000272 0.000517 0.000969 0.001871
2025-06-08 0.000038 0.000073 0.000140 0.000272 0.000530 0.001017 0.002013
2025-06-15 0.000035 0.000071 0.000137 0.000273 0.000545 0.001069 0.002169
2025-06-22 0.000033 0.000067 0.000133 0.000271 0.000553 0.001111 0.002306
2025-06-29 0.000031 0.000065 0.000131 0.000273 0.000570 0.001168 0.002481
2025-07-06 0.000029 0.000062 0.000129 0.000273 0.000583 0.001221 0.002652
2025-07-13 0.000027 0.000059 0.000124 0.000270 0.000587 0.001255 0.002786
2025-07-20 0.000026 0.000059 0.000126 0.000279 0.000620 0.001351 0.003062